GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares near five-month peak as earnings season kicks off

GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares near five-month peak as earnings season kicks off

Reuters  | Jul 13, 2020 16:40

GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares near five-month peak as earnings season kicks off

* MSCI AC World index closing in on Feb. 26 highs
* Markets brace for U.S. earnings season
* Europe opens 1% higher, euro ticks up ahead on ECB this
week
* Investors upbeat even as coronavirus cases surge in U.S.
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Thyagaraju Adinarayan and Wayne Cole
LONDON/SYDNEY, July 13 (Reuters) - World shares were
approaching a five-month peak and the dollar slipped on Monday
as investors wagered the earnings season would see most
companies beat forecasts given expectations had been lowered by
coronavirus lockdowns.
The U.S. earnings season kicks off this week with major Wall
Street banks JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo reporting on
Tuesday. It's expected to be the second-biggest quarterly
earnings drop since 1968, according to Refinitiv data.
"There's a view that the bar has been set pretty low for
them to report the almost obligatory 'better than expected'
results - the absence of forward guidance from many firms
notwithstanding," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at NAB.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS added 0.8% as Chinese stocks jumped 2.1% on
Monday .CSI300 . Japan's Nikkei .N225 gained 2.2% and South
Korea .KS11 1.7%.
The optimism carried over to Europe, where stocks .STOXX
rose 1%, even as the U.S. on Friday slapped additional duties of
25% on French luxury goods valued at $1.3 billion, in a
tit-for-tat response to France's digital services tax.
MSCI's All-Country World Index .MIWD00000PUS was just shy
of hitting Feb. 26 highs. E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1
ticked 0.5% higher despite record new cases of COVID-19 in the
U.S. over the weekend, a divergence that shows no sign of
stopping.
"Ongoing grim U.S. COVID-19 infection news continues to be
summarily ignored in favour of ongoing optimism regarding the
time-line for the discovery and rapid roll-out of an effective
vaccine and/or more policy support for asset prices and the U.S.
economy," Attrill said.
The risk-on rally saw the U.S. dollar dip 0.2% =USD
against a basket of major currencies after three straight weeks
of losses.
The euro, meanwhile, rose 0.2% to $1.132 to maintain its
slow uptrend since late last month. Looming large for the common
currency was a planned EU summit on July 17-18, where leaders
need to bridge gaps on long-term budget and economic stimulus
plans. FRX/
"If an agreement weren't to be reached there, then they
still expect one within weeks. It's worth remembering that there
are number of complex issues to be worked out," Deutsche Bank
strategist Jim Reid said.
Safe-haven German yields rose slightly, and Italy's 10-year
yield hit the highest level in over a week at 1.33% in early
trade as investors bagged profits after the recent rush to
safety cooled. IT10YT=RR
Yields on U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR came close to
record lows last week at 0.569% and were last at 0.63%.
Super-low rates have in turn been a boon for non-yielding
gold which hit a near nine-year high after five straight weeks
of gains. The metal was last at $1,807 an ounce XAU= , just off
a $1,817.17 top.
The hunt for yield has tended to benefit emerging market
currencies and those leveraged to commodities such as the
Australian dollar, while weighing on the U.S. dollar.
Oil prices eased in early trade, although that followed a
sharp rise on Friday when the International Energy Agency (IEA)
bumped up its 2020 demand forecast. O/R
Brent crude LCOc1 futures dipped 49 cents to $42.75 a
barrel, while U.S. crude CLc1 lost 52 cents to $40.03.


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Global earnings 2020 forecast https://tmsnrt.rs/2Zlafoz
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