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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision May 02, 2024 02:00

0 Weeks 4 Days 5 Hours 44 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: May 02, 2024 02:00
Future Price: 94.680
5.00 - 5.25
2.4%
5.25 - 5.50
97.6%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
5.00 - 5.25 2.4% 4.4% 5.4%
5.25 - 5.50 97.6% 95.6% 94.6%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Jun 13, 2024 02:00
Future Price: 94.690
4.75 - 5.00
0.2%
5.00 - 5.25
10.8%
5.25 - 5.50
88.9%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.75 - 5.00 0.2% 0.4% 0.7%
5.00 - 5.25 10.8% 12.5% 17.5%
5.25 - 5.50 88.9% 87.1% 81.7%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Aug 01, 2024 02:00
Future Price: 94.700
4.75 - 5.00
2.6%
5.00 - 5.25
28.6%
5.25 - 5.50
68.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.1% 0.2%
4.75 - 5.00 2.6% 3.1% 5.9%
5.00 - 5.25 28.6% 29.5% 37.4%
5.25 - 5.50 68.7% 67.3% 56.4%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Sep 19, 2024 02:00
Future Price: 94.795
4.50 - 4.75
1.0%
4.75 - 5.00
12.5%
5.00 - 5.25
43.8%
5.25 - 5.50
42.6%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.25 - 4.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
4.50 - 4.75 1.0% 1.3% 2.7%
4.75 - 5.00 12.5% 13.7% 19.8%
5.00 - 5.25 43.8% 44.6% 45.8%
5.25 - 5.50 42.6% 40.4% 31.6%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Nov 08, 2024 02:00
Future Price: 94.890
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
4.50 - 4.75
3.6%
4.75 - 5.00
19.6%
5.00 - 5.25
43.6%
5.25 - 5.50
33.0%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4.25 - 4.50 0.2% 0.3% 0.7%
4.50 - 4.75 3.6% 4.1% 6.6%
4.75 - 5.00 19.6% 20.6% 25.7%
5.00 - 5.25 43.6% 43.7% 42.5%
5.25 - 5.50 33.0% 31.3% 24.4%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Dec 19, 2024 03:00
Future Price: 94.950
4.25 - 4.50
1.5%
4.50 - 4.75
9.8%
4.75 - 5.00
28.8%
5.00 - 5.25
39.5%
5.25 - 5.50
20.2%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4.00 - 4.25 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
4.25 - 4.50 1.5% 1.8% 3.2%
4.50 - 4.75 9.8% 10.5% 14.7%
4.75 - 5.00 28.8% 29.5% 32.8%
5.00 - 5.25 39.5% 38.9% 34.8%
5.25 - 5.50 20.2% 19.2% 14.0%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Jan 30, 2025 03:00
Future Price: 95.010
4.00 - 4.25
0.5%
4.25 - 4.50
3.9%
4.50 - 4.75
15.3%
4.75 - 5.00
31.9%
5.00 - 5.25
33.9%
5.25 - 5.50
14.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
4.00 - 4.25 0.5% 0.6% 1.1%
4.25 - 4.50 3.9% 4.3% 6.5%
4.50 - 4.75 15.3% 16.0% 19.9%
4.75 - 5.00 31.9% 32.2% 33.4%
5.00 - 5.25 33.9% 33.2% 28.9%
5.25 - 5.50 14.4% 13.7% 10.0%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Mar 13, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.110
3.75 - 4.00
0.2%
4.00 - 4.25
1.5%
4.25 - 4.50
7.2%
4.50 - 4.75
20.0%
4.75 - 5.00
32.5%
5.00 - 5.25
28.4%
5.25 - 5.50
10.3%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.25 - 3.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.75 - 4.00 0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
4.00 - 4.25 1.5% 1.7% 2.9%
4.25 - 4.50 7.2% 7.9% 10.8%
4.50 - 4.75 20.0% 20.9% 24.2%
4.75 - 5.00 32.5% 32.5% 32.0%
5.00 - 5.25 28.4% 27.2% 22.9%
5.25 - 5.50 10.3% 9.5% 6.8%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Apr 24, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.170
3.75 - 4.00
0.6%
4.00 - 4.25
3.5%
4.25 - 4.50
11.7%
4.50 - 4.75
24.4%
4.75 - 5.00
31.0%
5.00 - 5.25
22.0%
5.25 - 5.50
6.6%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.00 - 3.25 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.50 - 3.75 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
3.75 - 4.00 0.6% 0.8% 1.4%
4.00 - 4.25 3.5% 3.9% 5.9%
4.25 - 4.50 11.7% 12.5% 15.9%
4.50 - 4.75 24.4% 25.0% 27.2%
4.75 - 5.00 31.0% 30.6% 28.5%
5.00 - 5.25 22.0% 20.9% 16.7%
5.25 - 5.50 6.6% 6.1% 4.2%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Jun 05, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.300
3.50 - 3.75
0.1%
3.75 - 4.00
1.0%
4.00 - 4.25
4.7%
4.25 - 4.50
13.5%
4.50 - 4.75
25.4%
4.75 - 5.00
29.7%
5.00 - 5.25
19.8%
5.25 - 5.50
5.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.75 - 3.00
3.00 - 3.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.50 - 3.75 0.1% 0.2% 0.4%
3.75 - 4.00 1.0% 1.1% 2.0%
4.00 - 4.25 4.7% 4.8% 7.3%
4.25 - 4.50 13.5% 13.8% 17.5%
4.50 - 4.75 25.4% 25.6% 27.4%
4.75 - 5.00 29.7% 29.7% 26.8%
5.00 - 5.25 19.8% 19.5% 15.0%
5.25 - 5.50 5.7% 5.5% 3.6%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST
Meeting Time: Jul 17, 2025 02:00
Future Price: 95.345
3.50 - 3.75
0.7%
3.75 - 4.00
3.1%
4.00 - 4.25
9.8%
4.25 - 4.50
20.4%
4.50 - 4.75
27.9%
4.75 - 5.00
24.0%
5.00 - 5.25
11.6%
5.25 - 5.50
2.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.50 - 2.75
2.75 - 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
3.50 - 3.75 0.7% 0.7% 1.3%
3.75 - 4.00 3.1% 3.4% 5.1%
4.00 - 4.25 9.8% 10.3% 13.2%
4.25 - 4.50 20.4% 21.1% 23.2%
4.50 - 4.75 27.9% 28.1% 27.1%
4.75 - 5.00 24.0% 23.3% 20.0%
5.00 - 5.25 11.6% 10.8% 8.4%
5.25 - 5.50 2.4% 2.1% 1.5%
Updated: Apr 27, 2024 12:35 CST

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