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GLOBAL MARKETS-Gold, Treasuries rise as recession, trade fears rattle investors

Published 08/28/2019, 04:58 AM
Updated 08/28/2019, 05:00 AM
GLOBAL MARKETS-Gold, Treasuries rise as recession, trade fears rattle investors
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(Updates with U.S. stock market close, changes byline, comment)
* U.S. 2yr/10yr yield curve inversion deepens further
* World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
* Wall Street slips, financial stocks weigh
* Gold up, silver hits 2-year high

By Herbert Lash and Rodrigo Campos
NEW YORK, Aug 27 (Reuters) - Declining stocks on Wall Street
weighed down a global equities gauge on Tuesday on lingering
worries about the U.S.-China trade war, while demand for U.S.
Treasuries and precious metals rose on recession fears.
The U.S. yield curve inversion deepened to levels not seen
since 2007 and gold futures rose as recession concerns gripped
investors. Silver touched a two-year high. Stocks opened higher on Wall Street after U.S. President
Donald Trump said China had offered to resume trade talks,
though uncertainty prevailed as Beijing declined to confirm
Trump's assertion. U.S. stocks initially opened higher, building on Monday's
advance after Trump's comments. China's foreign ministry,
however, reiterated on Tuesday that it had not received any
recent U.S. telephone calls on trade. "It is going to be pretty confusing and unfortunately,
without some kind of a major backpedaling on trade... the
economy is going to suffer," said Jack Ablin, chief investment
officer at Cresset Capital Management in Chicago.
Bank shares .SPXBK , which tend to weaken in lower rate and
soft economic environments, lost 1% on Wall Street.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 120.93 points,
or 0.47%, to 25,777.9, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 9.22 points, or
0.32%, to 2,869.16 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped
26.79 points, or 0.34%, to 7,826.95.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX rose 0.63% and
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS gained
0.03%.
Emerging market stocks rose 0.39%. Nikkei futures NKc1
lost 0.66%.
The deepening yield curve inversion reflects investor
nervousness about a recession and uncertainties over the trade
conflict between China and the United States.
"It's not a sign of confidence in inflation or a pick-up in
growth," said Mike Lorizio, head of Treasuries trading at
Manulife Asset Management in Boston.
Benchmark 10-year notes US10YT=RR last rose 21/32 in price
to yield 1.4744%, from 1.544% late on Monday.
The yield curve inversion also pressured the dollar.
"You have seen a push deeper into inversion in the 2s/10s
curve. Today, it's hard to put your finger on one specific
driver of that inversion - though that might be contributing to
the general sense of risk-off in the market," said Brian
Daingerfield, macro strategist at RBS Securities.
The dollar fell against the safe-haven Japanese yen while
the euro declined against the greenback.
The dollar index .DXY fell 0.05%, with the euro EUR=
down 0.1% to $1.1089.
The Japanese yen strengthened 0.35% versus the greenback at
105.77 per dollar, while Sterling GBP= was last trading at
$1.2285, up 0.57% on the day.
Emerging market currencies suffered across the globe, with
the Colombian peso COP= brushing against its record low near
3,478 per dollar.
Oil prices rose, buoyed by expectations of a drawdown in
U.S. crude inventories, though gains were capped by worries
about a recession and uncertainty over a China-U.S. trade deal.
U.S. crude CLcv1 rose 3.45% to $55.49 per barrel and Brent
LCOcv1 was last at $59.91, up 2.06% on the day.
Spot gold XAU= added 1.1% to $1,542.70 an ounce. Spot
silver XAG= gained 3.14% to $18.18 an ounce after touching its
highest since September 2017.


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