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Most of the major asset classes retreated in April. The overall losses mark the worst month for global markets so far in 2024, based on a set of ETFs.The upside outliers last month were limited to...
In an op-ed for the Washington Post on November 5, 2010, Ben Bernanke did a victory lap, praising the Fed’s efforts in stemming the financial crisis. In the article, he discusses how QE and...
The S&P 500 was down about 1.6% heading into the FOMC meeting and Quarterly Refunding Announcement today. The VIX 1-Day was up 8.3 points to 18.10, which suggests much of the decline yesterday...
The value of modeling recession risk-based multiple indicators is a hardy perennial. The latest example comes by way of aggregating trends in the 50 US state economies for estimating the odds that an...
Tomorrow, markets expect the Fed to have a similar message as the previous meetings. While rate cuts are highly unlikely, a hawkish surprise from Powell could jolt markets. Watch key indicators like...
In case you missed it, a $5 trillion tax hike looms over American households and businesses in President Joe Biden’s latest budget proposal, which would include a 25% annual minimum tax on...
The Biggest MYTH of Trading is that more trading equals more money.Overtrading is one of the most dangerous trading behaviors.
In Q1 2024, the US crossed the historic milestone of paying over $1 trillion on interest payments. As a consequence of an unprecedented $5 trillion money supply boost since 2020, the US experienced an...
The latest retail sales data suggests a robust consumer, leading economists to become even more optimistic about more robust economic growth this year. To wit: “It has been two years since...
GDP and PCE inflation data disappointed yesterday. This data raises the question: will it be possible to beat inflation without triggering a recession? Meanwhile, the US dollar has corrected, with...
US 10-Year moved sharply higher on surprise GDP report. What's next? Original Post
The airline industry is gearing up for what could be a record-breaking summer travel season, if forecasts turn out to be correct. Despite challenges such as the Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX 9 grounding...
Here is a trillion (dollar) reasons why the US economy is likely to hold up until elections: between now and then, Yellen is likely to drain the Treasury General Account (TGA) and unleash a wave of...
Stocks finished flattish on the day, but we are moving into the busiest part of the week. Now that Meta’s results are out of the way, we will have GDP and PCE to finish the week off, along with...
To be successful, active investors have to watch (and create) indicators that the mainstream media do not follow.Trading is hard, requiring discipline and a strict set of rules. Today, we look at a...