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EM ASIA FX-Asian currencies trapped in tight range amid Sino-U.S. trade deal doubts

Published 11/29/2019, 02:48 PM
Updated 11/29/2019, 02:56 PM
© Reuters.  EM ASIA FX-Asian currencies trapped in tight range amid Sino-U.S. trade deal doubts
USD/INR
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USD/IDR
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USD/MYR
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USD/PHP
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* Philippine peso top performer of the week
* Ringgit poised for third weekly decline
* S.Korean won weakens, cenbank keeps rates

(Adds text, updates prices)
By Shriya Ramakrishnan
Nov 29 (Reuters) - Emerging Asian currencies were stuck in a
tight range on Friday as investors fretted whether a new U.S.
law backing Hong Kong protesters could derail trade negotiations
between Washington and Beijing.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday signed into law
Congressional legislation backing the protesters, prompting
Beijing to warn of "firm counter measures". China's yuan CNY=CFXS eked out marginal gains against the
dollar in thin trade, while the Thai baht THB=TH was largely
flat ahead of the release of October trade data.
The South Korean won KRW=KFTC weakened 0.2% to the dollar,
after the central bank left interest rates unchanged at 1.25%,
as expected, and trimmed its growth and inflation forecasts for
the year, cementing a case for more policy easing next year.
"A cut to 1.0% would start to raise questions about whether
the central bank is approaching the limits of what can be
achieved through conventional policy," Alex Holmes, Asia
economist at Capital Economics, said in a note.
Market focus will now shift to China's factory activity
data, due on Saturday, which is expected to have contracted for
a seventh straight month in November amid sluggish domestic
demand, a Reuters poll showed. The Indonesian rupiah IDR= eased 0.2%, while the Malaysian
ringgit MYR= ticked higher but was poised for a third straight
weekly fall.
The Indian rupee INR= dipped 0.2% ahead of the release of
economic growth figures for the July-September quarter.
A Reuters poll showed the economy probably expanded at its
weakest pace in more than six years in the last quarter, hurt by
a slowdown in consumer demand and private investment.
PESO TOPS WEEK
The peso PHP= strengthened as much as 0.2% before erasing
gains, but remained on track for a weekly gain of 0.2%, making
it the region's top performing currency for the week.
Earlier this week, local media quoted https://www.philstar.com/business/2019/11/26/1971802/rate-cut-still-possible-yearend-diokno
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Benjamin Diokno as saying
another rate cut was still possible during the year's last
policy meeting in December.
The economy clocked surprisingly stronger growth in the
third quarter, giving the central bank more leeway to stand pat
on interest rate cuts after a 75 basis point cut in total this
year.
"Should inflation data for November defy market expectations
and point to a marked slowdown, that could prompt the central
bank to resume its monetary easing at its next policy decision,"
said Han Tan, a market analyst at FXTM.
Rising real yields and a narrowing trade deficit have
largely propped up the peso so far this quarter, Tan added.

CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day at 0639 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 109.490 109.5 +0.01
Sing dlr 1.366 1.3656 -0.03
Taiwan dlr 30.505 30.505 +0.00
Korean won 1181.200 1179 -0.19
Baht 30.220 30.232 +0.04
Peso 50.830 50.81 -0.04
Rupiah 14110.000 14085 -0.18
Rupee 71.718 71.61 -0.15
Ringgit 4.171 4.172 +0.02
Yuan 7.033 7.0348 +0.02

Change so far in 2019
Currency Latest bid End 2018 Pct Move
Japan yen 109.490 109.56 +0.06
Sing dlr 1.366 1.3627 -0.24
Taiwan dlr 30.505 30.733 +0.75
Korean won 1181.200 1115.70 -5.55
Baht 30.220 32.55 +7.71
Peso 50.830 52.47 +3.23
Rupiah 14110.000 14375 +1.88
Rupee 71.718 69.77 -2.72
Ringgit 4.171 4.1300 -0.98
Yuan 7.033 6.8730 -2.28

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