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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks rally but lacklustre without fresh stimulus

Published 09/18/2020, 02:20 PM
Updated 09/18/2020, 02:30 PM

* MSCI AxJ +0.4% to hit middle of its month-long range
* Yen, yuan shine as pressure returns to USD
* Oil jumps on output outlook
* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Asian stocks inched up on
Friday but lingering disappointment that central banks merely
affirmed their monetary support this week, while not promising
new stimulus, kept a lid on gains.
Oil rose after OPEC flagged a crackdown on members that did
not cut output, and the dollar was back to the bottom of its
recent range following its brief journey higher after
Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting.
The Fed promised to keep rates low for a long time, but gave
no new hints about any further monetary support.
Hints did come from the Bank of England and the Bank of
Japan on Thursday, but action was not forthcoming either.
U.S. stock futures wobbled either side of steady through the
Asia session and S&P 500 futures ESc1 were last up 0.04% while
Nasdaq 100 futures NQc1 were up 0.5%. EuroSTOXX 50 futures
STXEc1 were down 0.1% and FTSE Futures FFIc1 fell 0.2%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.4% to head for its first weekly gain in
three weeks.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 ended Friday down 0.2% for the week,
while markets in South Korea .KS11 and Australia .AXJO
scraped small weekly gains.
The Shanghai Composite .SSEC was the only market to make
noteworthy gains, with financials leading a 1.8% rise. .SS
"The bigger picture issue is that markets, particularly
growth and tech stocks, have run very hard into the end of
August, which has left them somewhat vulnerable," said AMP
Capital chief economist Shane Oliver.
"There's uncertainty ahead of the U.S.
elections...China-U.S. tensions keep creeping in and on top of
that there's now uncertainty about how the recovery will proceed
from here, in the absence of more stimulus in the U.S."
Data on Thursday showed the recovery in the U.S. labour
market is stalling. Consumer confidence data is due later on
Friday.
"Directionless trading in most asset classes suggests
fatigue in the risk rally," said strategist Terence Wu of
Singapore's OCBC Bank.
"The market will be craving for the next round of stimulus
injection to sustain the feel-good, risk-on factor...the
question is when and under what circumstances will the next
injection arrive?"

YUAN, YEN STAND OUT
The currency market's standout movers this week have been
the yuan and yen, notwithstanding volatile trade in sterling as
it has been buffeted by Brexit turmoil and the Bank of England
saying it would consider negative interest rates. In afternoon trade in Asia, the yuan was up 1.2% for the
week at 6.7514 per dollar CNH=D3 and on track for its longest
weekly winning streak since early 2018 as bond inflows into
China's capital-controlled economy buoy the currency. CNY/
"We see no signals from the (People's Bank of China's) daily
yuan fixing that suggest authorities are concerned about recent
trends," said Nomura analysts in a note.
"We remain short USD/CNH through both cash and options."
The yen was also solidly bought leading into a long weekend
in Japan. Shrugging off a dovish-sounding Bank of Japan it is
set for its best week since January with a 1.3% gain and last
sat just shy of a seven-week high at 104.81 per dollar. FRX/
In commodity markets, oil held sharp gains after OPEC and
its allies said the group will take action on members that are
not complying with deep output cuts. O/R
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were last 0.6% firmer at $43.55
a barrel and U.S. crude futures CLc1 rose 0.5% to $41.19 a
barrel.
U.S. Treasuries picked up where they left off, with yields
on 10-year U.S. government debt US10YT=RR at 0.6822% after
concerns about possible inflation rises in the future helped
reverse a bond rally in overnight trade. US/
Later on Friday, U.S. consumer confidence data is due and
Fed board member James Bullard is to make a speech on the
challenges of the COVID-19 recovery, both at 1400 GMT.

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