Day Ahead: Top 3 Things to Watch

Day Ahead: Top 3 Things to Watch  | Aug 13, 2019 09:47

Day Ahead: Top 3 Things to Watch – Here’s a preview of the top 3 things that could rock markets tomorrow

1. Inflation on Watch as Analysts Say Rate Cuts Coming

Market participants look ahead to the release of consumer inflation data due Tuesday at 8:30 AM ET (12:30 GMT).

Economists forecast overall inflation measured by the consumer price index in July rose 0.3% from 0.1% the prior month, while the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to have risen 0.2% from a 0.3% gain in June.

That would bring year-over-year core CPI growth to 3.2% and core CPI growth unchanged at 2.1%.

The Federal Reserve pointed to the subdued pace of consumer inflation as one of the key reasons for its rate cut last month, and further evidence of sluggish prices will strengthen calls for more aggressive rate cuts.

UBS said it expected the Fed to deliver two further cuts, in September and in December this year, with another cut in March 2020, reducing rates to a range of 1% to 1.25%, well below the Fed's recent outlook on the longer-run fed funds rate of 2.5%

Expectations for rate cuts as well as weakening global growth saw the Treasury curve flatten further on Monday, with the spread between the yields on the 10-year and 2-year Treasuries narrowing to levels not seen since 2007.

2. API Crude Inventories, OPEC Monthly Report in Spotlight

Following the Energy Information Administration's report last week of an unexpected rise in U.S. crude stockpiles, investors will look to the American Petroleum Institute's petroleum data for further insight into domestic crude supplies.

The report will arrive ahead of OPEC's monthly report, with investors keen to get a sense of the oil cartel's outlook on world demand and supply.

The monthly report comes at a time when many fear a slowdown in the global economy could dent oil demand and pressure crude prices further. West Texas Intermediate crude is off about 17% from its late April peak of $66.30.

Crude oil prices, however, shrugged off fears of a slowdown in global growth on Monday, settling at $54.93 a barrel, up 0.8%, supported by reports that OPEC, in particular Saudi Arabia, is eyeing further production cuts.

3., Tilray Earnings on Deck (NASDAQ:JD) reports second-quarter earnings on Tuesday before the opening bell, with shares up about 29% so far this year.

The company's efforts to increase its e-commerce footprint in emerging markets is expected to continue underpin top-line growth.

The company previously guided second-quarter revenue in the range of RMB145 billion and RMB150 billion, representing growth of 19% to 23% year on year. is expected to report earnings per share of RMB0.46 on RMB147.56 billion of revenue, according to forecasts compiled by

Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY), meanwhile, kicks off earnings for marijuana stocks after the closing bell.

Like some of its peers, Tilray's earnings have been characterized by surging revenue, but widening losses as the marijuana company continues to invest in expanding its production and manufacturing operations in Canada and Portugal.

The marijuana producer's acquisition of Manitoba Harvest in February earlier is expected to boost recreational cannabis sales and hemp food sales.

Tilray, down 40% for the year, is expected to report a loss of 26 cents a share on revenue of $40.35 million.

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